Cover

2020/07/09 at 11:12am Leave a comment

SVT shorted the hell out of energy stocks again. Harmonics formed a primary bull node for now. Covering 70% of short on energy.

Enjoy 🙂

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Protected: 08-JUL-2020 Before the Bell

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SVT Premium password for July, 2020

2020/07/08 at 8:33am Leave a comment

The newsletter password for SVT premium members can be found at:

http://www.svtpremium.com/members/newsletter/2020/20200708PWD.cfm

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Quick update 7-JUL-2020

2020/07/07 at 2:09am 1 comment

This is a quick update as we received additional signals and need to perform actions.

  1. SVT will rise its short bets against equities to 60% at open
  2. SVT will short miners with 30%. This is a short trade, tries to ride an MVO bull surge exhaustion. Entry to this trade is at open and we might exit EOD. I will update you.

detailed analysis and explanation will come tomorrow.

All other positions are kept as they are.

Good luck!

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Week-end post

2020/07/06 at 1:05am Leave a comment

Equities

Harmonics is a confirmed buy for equities. Internals were week enough to have a dive last week, however, \attempt seems to be postponed. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and with a clear fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell, 2D MV momentum chart still signals a bearish SBV and bearish momentum. 2D MV fakeout chart is a fake bear.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/4jcPNnpP-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy and a fake bull with a starting bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/F6CRbXTp-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. Last week gold couldn’t generate a new high. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal, shows a bull surge and signals a fake bear setup.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/myvYUCl6-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics and signal extremely overbought conditions. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge signal and with a fake bear. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. Next week seems to be bullish for miners.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/r8hqoVTr-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

Oil is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a buy in short-term and neutral on its longer-term indicators. We can see there a short-term bull surge signal. Combined with a fake bull. Next week we will see turbulence on oil. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. The best thing is to sit and wait for oil’s trading box as price manifestation is weak on both sides.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/2pd4o1oj-CL-1D-TW/

Energy index is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and will form a primary bull node within 2 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and a fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/OGJjMBxE-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds 20+y

Harmonics is a short-term sell and a long-term buy. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal and a fake bear. 2D MV chart is almost a  short-term sell with a long-term buy signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/1k9Ia4u9-ZB-1D-TW/

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a confirmed sell on harmonics.The 4th system is shows sideways move for a while then a further correction.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/0PA1zGWP-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

 

 

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Quick update

2020/07/02 at 7:35am Leave a comment

There was a request to update the SVT portfolio.

I need to mention that it’s a surprise to me that according to the statistics, the highest hit is about the portfolio not the analysis I produce.

Please note that it’s not a site where you just copy the portfolio and run. I give the net instead of the fish: I ask my readers to follow my posts, perform an independent analysis and make trades according to the analysis you do yourself, adding my forecasts and use a vehicle at your risk preference.

Anyway, SVT carries positions as:

-Equities bucket: short 15%

-Miners bucket: long 20%

-Oil bucket: short 60%

-Energy bucket: short 100%

-Bonds 20+y bucket: long 100%

Checked our traded assets and no major change on our forecast.

I will follow the figures today and might perform covers on short positions. You’ll be updated if a decision is made.

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Free post: 1-JUL-2020 Before the Bell

2020/07/01 at 9:22am 1 comment

First of all, sorry for the timing of the last 3-4 posts. Usually I write the findings and forecasts and schedule my post to be activated 15-20 minutes before the Bell. Then, if I have more time, I add some commentary or essay to the post. There should be a bug in wordpress and that re-calculates the scheduled time and posts much later than I scheduled. I will pay attention to this problem and will activate my post manually. (René, thank you for the heads-up!).

Stocks

Harmonics is a confirmed buy with a rapid money outflow for equities. SSTIS is a confirmed sell and a clear fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. 2D MV momentum chart signals a bearish momentum, flat buying signal on SBV and a rising selling signal. 2D MV chart still signals a fake bear. Position of stocks is at V-MA. We can count with some decline this week, but then an oscillation next week is a high probability.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/dITAZ4dI-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy and a fake bull. FED will try to balance the expected equity decline now via dollar easing and, most probably will be successful. We can see if the FED is in a monetary trap and on which timeframe. 2D MV chart is still a confirmed buy and the MVO bull surge signal is over. Dollar’s decline in yesterday was a cool-down as the MVO bull surge faded away. However, dollar’s longer-term outlook is still bullish meaning high probability for a confirmed larger timeframe monetary trap (day or 2day period trap)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/iHLDULfZ-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed buy and signals extremely overbought internals on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal, a fake bear, and a bull surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. No change on forecast.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/aPqcLQor-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal and a fake bear. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. Position of miners is well-above V-MA. Checking 3D MV momentum chart signals an MVO bear/bull switch. SVT will take an initial, long position on miners, 20%. In order to protect this position, SVT will use GDX SH exit plan. Please note that the two conditions for a miners bull rally gold’s rally and equity rally are dubious, therefore is the moderate long position.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/GFuu3F4f-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

Oil is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is neutral on both timeframes and a fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. We will check if oil will fall out of its trading box and then add short positions.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/K8vUPoTo-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and show a possible, primary bull node within 2 trading days on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and a clear fake bear. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/93cVEvan-XOI-1D-TW/

SVT keeps its 100% short in XOI and will buy 60% of short position in oil. Again, please note that efficient shorting of oil is only possible via futures (C2 is recommended, if you don’t know what is C2 then futures trading is not for you), most of my readers should remain in an observation modus. Rest recommended to go with energy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/93cVEvan-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds 20+y

Bonds 20+y are a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics.

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a confirmed sell on harmonics. The 4th system signals an oscillation. We need to check if BTC falls out of its trading box. Odds are pretty high for a bearish continuation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/OvmJiSAl-BTCUSD/

 

 

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