December Password

2017/12/10 at 17:20pm Leave a comment

The premium member password for December can be found at the link below:

http://www.svtpremium.com/members/newsletter/2017/20171210PWD.cfm

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6-DEC-2017 Before the Bell

2017/12/06 at 7:14am Leave a comment

Equities

/ES is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and started to form a bull surge elimination signal combined with a fake bear setup.
2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and with an MVO bull surge.
It seems the characteristics will be a spike-up – again.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/dAVCa8zZ-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation.
2D MV chart also started to give an MVO bear/bull surge signal. This is an extremely important signal, usually shows a possible, clear trend-change. As this signal is 1 day old only, and 2D charts can change retrospectively for a day, I will keep my eyes on dollar. If the bear/bull surge signal continues, we might see dollar to make an attemt to spike up, and the primary target is the higher edge of dollar’s trading box.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/s3UDDSZ0-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Our PM forecast was accurate, gold is still a confirmed sell on harmonics with a possible bull node within 2 trading days. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation yet, but we have an MVO bear surge signal here.
Gold still has 1267 as a primary target, I count with a slight bounce before dropping below of that support. Later target is 1260. If that level fails, then target is 1218.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/vzrD8buj-GC-1D-TW/

Miners

Miners exactly followed our forecast. There is a gap-up now, might be closed soon. Harmonics is a a confirmed sell on harmonics with a possible bull node within 2 trading days. SSTIS is a clear confirmed sell. 2D MV chart is a
short-term sell with no long-term confirmation, but we have a clear MVO bull/bear surge signal with an ongoing bear surge confirmation. It means target of GDX 21.66 will fall and the next target is 20.34.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/jF107yCe-GDX-1D-TW/

Bonds

Bonds exactly follow our forecast, not too much to say here:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLT/Za0GB1sd-20-y-bonds/

 

Bitcoin

BTCUSD: It’s a secular bull with a hysteric rise period. I highleighted the most important pivots.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/pMxsftAg-BTCUSD/

Trading update: hold existing stakes.

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Week-end post

2017/12/04 at 7:07am Leave a comment

Equities
Stocks are a confirmed buy on hamornics. SSTIS is a convifmed buy and signals exhaustion of the bull surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation and with an MVO bull surge signal.I’ve expected a drop in short-term but the flash-crash happened in intraday insteadt of a few days.The eliminating power of MVO bull surge on 2D and the bull surge elimination on 1D timeframe will lead to a kind of correction, but as per moment, I only see extremely overbought conditions and nothing more.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/kw3duBLC-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar
Dollar is a short-term buy on harmonics with no long-term confirmation. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal.Dollar runs its bearish run below a clear bearish trendline. There is not too much to do with dollar as long as it shows no breach of that. My best bet is a squiggle will send dollar above of the bearish trendlinebut then dollar will make a triangle consolidation.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/uWPpskYv-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners
Gold is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal and with a fake bear setup. Gold will oscillate in a short-term but looks like to go lower finally: 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation. As per moment, it looks like there is no need to change my almost 10 days old forecast for gold.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/bU6OzUFW-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and with a developing MVO bull/bear switch.As miners usually lead the PM complex (there is only one earlier indicator: Palladium), and gold is to dive, we can have a large probability scenario to see dollar to spike up meaning equities to drop and FED to detect a monetary trap. Target is GDX 21.58.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/emFQ8HJY-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil

The black stuff follows my almost 2 weeks old forecast, not too much to do here. The black stuff is topping.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/IyFAccww-CL-1D-TW/

 

Crypto/BTCUSD The digital gold is truly behave like its yellow twin. This period is a gold-rush: as long as the price is above or within the secular bull channel on the log scale, not too much to do just wait for a cool-down and buy more.As per moment BTC is extremely overbought and, as long as the short-term bullish trendline is not broken, we just need to wait. A breach of the upper channel line happened on 30-NOV meaning a correction to come.Primary target will be 10300s then 8372s.

Trading update: hold existing stakes

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01-DEC-2017 Before the Bell

2017/12/01 at 6:15am Leave a comment

Equities

Equities are a confirmed buy on harmonics with extremely overbought conditions. SSTIS signals a confirmed buy with a bull surge, but also signals a correction period to come in 1 trading day.
So, next week is about a correction. As per moment, I don’t see a large corretion to come, but a kind of pull-back.
2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/3zMb2cwg-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup and with a bull surge signal.
2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal.
As you see, signals are fuzzy. If I try to synthetize the setups above, then we have the forecast as below:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/ga71OcBh-DX-1D-TW/

So, it’s a fight between profit-taking institutions (the MVO bull surge will be eliminated for equities) versus FED. Profit-taking needs cash while FED is to inject dollar into the market in order to provide sufficient
liquidity and manipulate the market via inflationary pressure.

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation yet.
Synthetized forecast is:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/kP8pT43J-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bear surge and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation yet.
Miners follow our forecast as well and here please find the highest probability scenario:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/fZJ5S1mS-GDX-1D-TW/

Bonds

20+y bonds are a confirmed sell now on harmonics.
SSTIS is a confirme sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/TLT/BLip4TBr-Bonds-2D-MV/

Bitcoin

Bitcoin follows our forecast. It managed 11k but the hysteric period was only for a few days and finished with a shooting star formation. Now BTC is a confirmed sell on my system.
My expectation is a volatile period as more and more institutional traders will join to the cryptoworld.
The hysteric rise was an artificially created spike: if a large player wants to enter a relatively tiny market, the first step is to chase prices up: as the general sentiment is bullish, with a small investment, a new player can generate extreme interest for the asset (low volume days+extreme rises). Then, at the moment of drag-down we can see an extreme sell on strength day where new entries puke their stakes that will generate a first-emotional vawe-fear.
The next step is to stabilize the market a little and magnet the same, last bull traders to the bullish arena again. They will buy back the asset as they booked a loss in their former trade and hope to make that back. After a short stabilization period, prices will be dragged down again, and a new group will join to the panic-sell: medium or longer-term investors are puking their positions as they afraid if losing their dream profits as well. And this kind of squeezing for positions just continues as long as all the assets reach a large  volume BOW (buy on weakness) day, where institutional traders start to compete and finally determine the price of the asset producing a strong BOW day.

We could eyewitness the first step: the extreme volume shooting star day. My expectation is to see BTC at the upper edge of its recent trading box (USD 8330) in a few days. The purpose  is to generate a second selling panic via generated sharp selling days and convience traders entered earlier to lock their remaining profits. BTC will behave as a precious metal: relatively tiny market and limited availability.

The oscillation started: the first trick is a triangle-consolidation pattern with a high probability of fallout scenario

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/jmlxi5Rc-BTCUSD/

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Have a great week-end!

 

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Protected: 29-NOV-2017 Before the Bell

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Protected: Week-end post

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