FREE: 01-SEP-2026

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation on harmonics. T2 1D signals a short-term sell with a longer-term buy and a non-fake bear. T2 2D signals a confirmed sell with a money outflow. The confirmation on 2D for sell arrived yesterday. WT 2D signals a confirmed sell as well.

Stocks will make a dive today, perform a pop-up a little later this week but next week it will continue its way down.

This is an expected correction meaning max 7% of drop but it will be stretched till the next contract is not up and running. U contract has 17 days left.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/iORV2KDM-ES-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal on harmonics. Both WT 1D and 2D signals a short-term buy embedded into a major sell cycle. As I told earlier any dollar pop-up will be eliminated by the Trump administration and dollar’s fate is down till the mid-term elections.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/saQ4elpA-DX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Miners

Miners are a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation oon harmonics. T2 1D signals a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation, 2D signals a clear confirmed buy. Mienrs will drop as they are sensitive to equities. Please note the 4 gaps down in the near past. 2of them needs to be closed before miners will go upwards. Here SVT will load its miners bucket to 200% from 100% this months, of course, figures will be constantly checked if the longer-term vision meets to the factual figures.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/Z12hxyRZ-GDX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Energy

Energy index is a confirmed buy on harmonics. Te price is mainly driven by the dollar devaluation. As you can see, it’s not driven by the results on economy as SPX is actually in stagnation for a month now. Compare SPX versus energy and you’ll see the divergence. Usually this non-economy driven rise in energy is temporary and leads to a major drop on stockmarkets. However, still a few months left till that, critical point. T2 is a confirmed sell on 1D but a confirmed buy on 2D timeframe meaning a temporary drop is a high probability. WT 1D and 2D also confirm this scenario.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/kVLoGIW0-XLE-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy on harmonics. T2 is a confirmed buy on 1D timeframe but signals weakening bullish internals. 2D T2 singals a confirmed buy but significant drop in bullish internals. Volume outflow happens since 27-AUG. WT signals declining internals as well from the same date. A 10% of drop is in the cards in BTC and expectation is to see a kind of stagnation in September but then a bullish rally.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/MRUaKpAU-BTCUSD-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

 

Good luck!

Quick Update

Right, this is what we were waiting for: a decisive dollar down moment.

That happened after the FOMC yesterday. Now the message is clear: stock market can dive, but will be protected via dollar injection.

On a normal equity drop stocks are down and dollar is up as a signal for cash-out and demand for the green money. This happened yesterday, but immediately a large liquidity was thrown to the market in order to balance the drop and provide liquidity. As you can see, stocks didn’t recover, gold made some rise but other PMs didn’t move. They will. Same true for BTC. Still some waiting is necessary but we are close to see large PM and BTC ups.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/VFw2bK9r-ES-1D-TW/

dollar:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/uUk8lTFQ-DX-1D-TW/

All the other moves are noise.

It’s ineviteable there will be a large dive on stocks later this year/early next year but not now.

What you have seen so far is only a summer correction.

Good luck!

02-JUL-2026 Before the Bell

Sorry, these days are not easy. I know it shouldn’t be an excuse.
(Side note: As long as you can, train your spine, try to do everything to avoid spine surgery, my ex-wife is still struggling. Doctors say it will be 10-12 months for a better result….we will see. The pain should be horrible, my ex wife is a strong lady and almost never showed pain but now I can see it on her face.)

Anyway,

Equities

Stocks are a confirmed buy with  a high reading on syntethic sentiment meaning still overbought. These weeks will be rather about long period of sidemoves, then some correction, then a new ATH. As I told you, I still don’t count with any major drop before midterm elections. T2 signals a short-term buy with a longer-term sell on 1D timeframe and a confirmed sell on 2D timeframe. We have a PSAR bull switch on 2D T2, however, the price manifestation is still not too much. The futures gap I mentioned is closed now and a consolidation period to come meaning a triangle formation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/ZKjOuSC5-ES-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Dollar

As I mentioned before, the key is dollar. The green money bounced exactly from target I drew (blue arrow) in my former post and now it’s being pushed down dramatically. As long as the bullish trendline is not taken, dollar is in a bull (red arrow). Harmonics is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal. Synsentiment didn’t turn to shouth yet. WT signals a fake bear as per moment.

I count with a bear flag to be formed in the next 3-4 trading days. Then the way is down.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/Br5BFc8B-DX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Miners

Miners are extremely oversoldon harmonics for now, SyntSent signals critical low trust in miners. This will be a perfect time to see them to recover. T2 signals a confirmed sell on 1D timeframe, same true for 2D timeframe. WT signals a bear/bull switch happened yesterday. All in all, I’m not so worried about miners, they will recover soon and perform nicely. The forecast was pretty good here as well, only needs a slight update with the most probable run in the future. Seeing GDX at 110s is almost a guarantee. As permoment, the current exposure is okay, but SVT will add when it gets further bullish confirmations.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/mYBjcIpX-GDX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a confirmed sell on harmonics and syntsent is pointing downwards. I count with a turbulent recovery. T2 is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell on 1D timeframe and a short-term buy with a longer-term sell on 2D timeframe. It means a high probability fake bull setup for BTC.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/oJWBWFtm-BTCUSD-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Good luck! I hope that I can drop 1 post per week from now on.

18-JUN-2026 Quick update

The key is still dollar.

Stocks are extremely overbought and were matured for a correction. Gap at /ES2 to be closed for sure. I count with that target and then some further way down.

I still don’t count with a large drop on SPX.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/K9PR2fGj-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar is still in an uptrend. As long as it’s happening, all assets suffer a depression and all bulls are temporary only.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/O0ISbotQ-DX-1D-TW/

Miners will continue their way down

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/9REu6Ivq-GDX-1D-TW/

Energy index will stabilize soon

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/ZQq51SvI-XLE-1D-TW/

BTC, ETH is to make one more dive

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/v1gguljb-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

The right translated HS made its work for now and, as a major support breached recently, I count with further way down.

 

Quick update – 18-MAY-2026

Just a few lines before the BELL.

Sorry, these days are extremely busy. Mr. Trump generates lots of things to be done on my plate, I’m busy at work and have some personal issues in my family (my ex-wife gone through on a complex spine surgery and I gave helping hands. We lived 20 years together, she is the mother of my kids and I believe if a help needed, no matter what happened in the past.)

I’m just postponing posts as for the time being I could write a holistic post about all the traded assets the bell rings and I believe next day will be less busy, but it just not happening.

So in a nutshell, still dollar is the key. That will reach the gap target soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/XwMbSKHV-DX-1D-TW/

Miners are following the triangle pattern I’ve drawn a month ago, nothing to do here. Once dollar will be pushed down (it will be), miners will start their course and will make a nice rally finally. The time of going 250% margin from 100% long is coming.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/gimFljPz-GDX-1D-TW/

Stocks will correct but a little only. Once dollar will start to go down, they will surprise all bears and will make ATH.

BTC is doing the expected correction. If you made your bets for MARA and MSTR when I was writing about that, now you made 150% on that bet. (they went up 60% and my bet was a 250% margin for them in FEB). SVT just holds the 250% margin on BTC MARA and MSTR.

The expected correction and pop-up on energy stocks just happened. Now, after a pop-up it will be over for energy. It looks to me that energy prices will go down from this area.

My eyes on uranium miners. They will turn back soon (in 3-5 weeks).

The sell in MAY and go AWAY paradigm looks not true for this time. Be careful, in 6-8 months I still see a larger correction on stocks to happen.

I hope I can come back this week with a more detailed post.

Please note that I’m constantly monitoring our traded assets and, if I see a major drop to come, I’ll post about it! Meanwhile all you see is business as usual with some Trump spice!

Good Luck!

30-APR-2026 Before the Bell

Uncertainty is still the main attribute of the market. As I wrote you before, it’s better to trade on very long-term and ignore the noise.

In a long run M2 will be with us:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2SL

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation on harmonics. T2 1D signals a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal. 2D chart on T2 signals a confirmed buy. Stocks are far above of their V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions. WT signals an exhausted bull but still no signal for a major dive.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/GJj56uiC-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is still the key here: harmonics is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal and synsentiment is slowly turning to south meaning slow pointing towars a bearish stance in a longer-term. The road will be bumpy. The gap upwards was not closed yet, that will be closed but not now. As you can see, the forecast was punctual for dollar. I’d be more happy seeing dollar to close the gap at /DX2 99.165 and then turn downwards. WT signals a fake bull as per moment. The forecast needs an update:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/WSRBwiKe-DX-1D-TW/

Miners

Miners signal a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation on harmonics. T2 signals a short-term sell with a longer-term buy on 1D timeframe, while 2D timeframe signals a confirmed bear. Miners will struggle for a while.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/lJQL31vo-GDX-1D-TW/

Energy

The forecast on XLE was punctual as well. Harmonics is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell and SyntSent is still pointing downwards meaning a bearish main trend. T2 signals a short-term buy with a longer-term sell on 1D timeframe and signals a confirmed sell on 2D timeframe. WT signals  a fake bull as per moment. XLE will go south after the gap close. Forecast as below:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/O34Lbkfa-XLE-1D-TW/

Bitcoin

BTCUSD made its futures roll from J to K26. As you know contango trade is happening few days before the roll, this is how whales make sure selling on high price and buying the next contract cheap. The usual game happened. K has 29 days left. It’s a short-term sell with a longer-term buy on harmonics. SyntSent is pointing upwards. T2 1D signals a short-term sell with a longer-term buy and 2D signals a confirmed buy. Last forecast expected a correction but the correction was stronger than the estimated. BTC will meander for a while but then its way is up. Once V-MA is taken (as per moment V-MA is (79410) we can count with a better performance on BTC.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/P8zErZhT-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

 

Good luck!!!

 

22-APR-2026 Before the Bell

Sorry, these days are extremely busy and I didn’t have time to write posts before the BELL.

Equities

Stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics with extremely overbought shor-term indication. T2 1D signals a confirmed buy since 2-APR. T2 2D signals a confirmed buy as well. WT signals a buy as well, the bull is not over yet but will have less momentum from now on. While /ES has no any major gap, SPX has. Let me show you.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SPX/vrpuJrlO-SPX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

This gap will be closed, but not now.

As I told you in my earlier post, I didn’t see a large drop to come on SPX and this is what happened.

Forecast is as below:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/Hto4HT96-ES-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

I market the SPX gap on ES1. I feel after long months, that gap close will be a target. (After mid-term elections).

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no longer-term confirmation on harmonics. Dollar is ready for a dive. WT signals a bottom happened on 17-APR. My expectation is to see dollar to hit MA 20 but won’t close the gap at /DX2 98.750. (I’d be more than happy seeing that gap to be closed, however, that would mean a shock on stocks and PM miners and I don’t see any preparation of institutions doing so).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/EKF522JU-DX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Miners

Miners are a short-term sell with no longer-term buy on harmonics. SynSent is still pointing downwards. T2 gave a clear buy signal on 3-APR and sell on 15-APR. T2 2D shows elimination of the bullish momentum, but far from any strong and definitive selling signal. WT signaled a confirmed sell on 16 APR. I’m still waiting for SynSent to turn bullish before taking the 250% long position. As long as there’s no clear setup, I’m waiting with the 100% long position. There’s a 30% chance for the dollar spike-up and seeing the dollar gap to be closed, also SynSent and WT gives no support to be too bullish. I feel PMs will move in a trading box and will show volatile nature in the upcoming weeks.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/Hu2nusdj-GDX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Energy

Energy topped just in line with our forecast. A gap is left on energy at XLE 59.7. That gap will be closed. Harmonics is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell. SyntSent gave a sell signal on 4-APR. T2 signals a confirmed sell and the selling pressure is increasing. Any bullish short-preriod upwards will be followed by a stronger bearish period.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/gkzFYwRE-XLE-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Bitcoin

Good news for Crypto-Bugs: MARA gave a SyntSent secondary buy signal on 18-MAR, BTC gave a SyntSent secondary buy signal on 17-APR, ETH gave a SyntSent secondary buy signal yesterday.

Time to add to 250% long. SVT will add BTC up to 250 today. I’m ready hold this position for long months. If you are not ready for riding a rollercoaster market with leverage, just stay at the level you can afford!

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/5TEQIEtE-BTCUSD-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

For all the assets: count with extremely volatile period for the next 6 months. Don’t daytrade, try to ride the large trends. I do the same.

Good luck!

25-MAR-2026 Market outlook

Equities

Technical Summary – Equities (S&P 500 / broad market indices)Harmonics → Confirmed sell signal remains in place.

Internals are not showing extreme oversold conditions yet, which keeps the risk of further downside elevated.
T2 → Confirmed sell on the daily.
T2 2D → Also confirmed sell on the 2-day timeframe.
WT → Bearish signals active on both the 1D and 2D timeframes.

Price action update:
Stocks have now made a lower low compared to the November 2025 low. We are seeing a short-term bounce at the moment, but the weight of the evidence suggests high odds of another leg lower in the coming sessions.Positioning note:

SVT has already taken profit on its short equity position and is now flat/neutral on stocks.

Outlook for the next few daysThe original forecast has played out well so far. Near-term technicals stay bearish-biased with limited signs of real exhaustion or capitulation.

We’ll likely need either:a clear breakdown below recent swing lows, or
a failed bounce that rolls over quickly before we can look for a more meaningful low.

I’ll keep a close eye on these signals and plan to re-evaluate early next week (or sooner if we get a decisive move).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/ChBaaEmY-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

The key is dollar. The move of stocks/US bonds and dollar was pretty scary: normally stocks are in inverse correlation of US bonds. Bonds were not considered as safe heavens and yields were skyrocketing.
Dollar gained 4% since early february. Institutions turned their interest to dream profit on oil and defense stocks. All other asset classes (except on cybersecurity) suffered a loss.
The correction was expected, dollar’s move was expected.
I wouldn’t be surprised hearing that some republican politicians/military advisors made a decision to suggest the war against to Iran for Trump as they don’t want him to win the half-term.

Key Market Driver Right Now: The US DollarThe recent moves across stocks, US Treasuries, and the dollar were genuinely concerning.
Normally we see an inverse relationship between stocks and bonds — when stocks fall, bonds act as a safe haven and yields decline.
That didn’t happen this time. Instead, bonds were not treated as a safe haven, and Treasury yields spiked sharply higher.Meanwhile, the US Dollar has surged roughly 4% since early February.

Institutions rotated aggressively into oil and defense stocks in search of outsized profits, while virtually every other asset class (with the exception of cybersecurity) took meaningful losses.
The equity correction itself was anticipated, and so was the dollar’s strength.
What caught the market off guard was the breakdown in traditional correlations.

On a side note, I wouldn’t be surprised if certain Republican politicians or military advisors are quietly pushing for escalated action against Iran — possibly even suggesting direct conflict to President Trump. The cynical read is that some factions simply don’t want him to succeed heading into the mid-terms.

Harmonics is a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation. WT signals slowly decreasing bullish internals. WT also signals heavy hidden bearish injections on dollar -this is the invisible arm that saves the stockmarket from a stronger and deeper decline.
The most probable scenario is to see dollar to drop some, further down but then make a few days of bullish days.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/uEhra0GX-DX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

PM miners

SVT carries a long position on PM stocks and PM metals so let’s see how it goes. End of last week GDX gave a bull node on harmonics.
The expected bounce arrived and the strength of it will give us some hints where we are with PMs.
T2 signals a confirmed sell but oscillators show rapid elimination on the bearish side. T2 2D signals a confirmed sell as well.
WT signals a turning point happened last Friday. SVT will fill its PM bucket to 200% from its current exposure on the long side soon.

Having 3 unclosed gaps upwards on GDX after the Friday close last week it’s almost a guarantee we will see GDX at 110s. The question is the timing.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/lGXzJI1g-GDX-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Energy

Energy index is skyrocketing. With oil prices on this, high level it’s normal.
Energy indexes are extremely overbought. Harmonics signals a confirmed buy. T2 signals a confirmed buy as well on both 1D and 2D timeframes. However, 2D signals constant money outflow since 9-MAR. (T2 2D started to show a confirmed bull on 26-JAN-2026).
Energy index still in a bull for a while, however, not an asset to buy at this levels. It’s rather about taking profits.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/AL1bMV6f-XLE-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

 

BTCUSD
BTC is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy on harmonics. MARA gave a secondary buy signal mid last week. T2 signaled a confirmed buy on 10-MAR on 1D timeframe. T2 shows no confirmed buy yet.
All in all, BTC has a very promising setup. SVT will fill its PM bucket to 200% from its current exposure on the long side soon.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/6w9eojTE-BTCUSD-1D-TW/?social_toast=true

Quick update

No surprise at all. Most of our assets go to their forecasted direction.

The OPEX of Mar resulted a dive on stocks. SVT carries a short position versus equities. Time to take profit. I will slash the short position to 30% at open. Our system signals short-term full bearish exhaustion in 1-2 trading days.

Dollar started to give topping signals.

PM miners show short-term full exhaustion on their bear pressure.

Energy index is extremely overbought.

BTC signals recovery in medium-term. As short-term indicators were extremely overbought conditions, the current corrextion is not a surprise. I still have no secondary buy signal on btc nor on eth, however brave ones can add some more long exposure to their buckets.

All in all, it looks war in Iran will end soon, institutions are prepared for that turn.

Good luck!

FREE: Before the BELL

Equities

Harmonics signals a confirmed sell and now we can see a breach on the trading box more than a month ago. T2 signals a confirmed sell on both 1D and 2D timeframe. Stocks are still trading above of their synthetic V-MA but latest candle tagged this level. We will see a drop next week. The primary target will be SPX 6900 later 6529.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/ZVDi7V64-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is just going up. I forecasted the dollar’s run, however the recent war between Iran and USA just pushing the green money upwards practicing pressure on almost all assets. Harmonics is a confirmed buy and still has some ways upwards. WT signals a confirmed buy and shows no easing. Dollar will continue its way upwards.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/KBzgWi0J-DX-1D-TW/

Miners

Miners are suffering a hit from the dollar’s bullish run and also from dropping stocks. Harmonics signals a short-term sell with no longer-term confimation. T2 signals a confirmed sell on both 1D and 2D timeframes, WT signals a short-term sell with no longer-term confirmation yet. GDX formed a large gap upside at 110 meaning in a while we will see prices go back to that level. It won’t happen soon. I need to modify the forecast as this level drop was not expected.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/eAGg7S2m-GDX-1D-TW/

Energy

Energy index made a nice rally. It signals a short-term sell with a longer-term buy and signals extremely overbought internals. It seems the global energy issue will be solved in the next 1-2 weeks on a way. T2 signals a confirmed sell from yesterday on 1D timeframe and a short-term sell with a longer-term buy on 2D timeframe. We will see a kind of oscillation on energy prices soon. The forecast was absolutely punctual both timing and price-wise, so I only need to draw the forecast with no alignment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/Kdv9EfVG-XLE-1D-TW/

BTCUSD

BTCUSD is a short-term buy with no longer-term confirmation on harmonics. T2 signals a short-term buy with no longer-term confirmation on 1D timeframe and shows a confirmed buy on 2D timeframe. Bitcoin trades well below of synthetic V-MA meaning weak bulls then strong bear hits, however, it signals a recovery.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/VWqGuado-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

No need to change the forecast.

Have a great week-end!