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Week-end post

2019/03/04 at 9:11am Leave a comment

Equities

Harmonics is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal for equities. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup, 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a longer-term signal with an MVO bull surge setup. Latter signal immediately negates the planned bearish position-taking at swing high. (As I received a question: swing-high on /ES2 would be a candle which is  lower than the recent highest low (2789) and lower than the highest recent(last candle’s) high (2814) on the daily timeframe. The MVO bull surge on 2D can be switched to an MVO bull/bear switch meaning a medium-term bearish period, however, the MVO bull surge on 2D timeframe is one day old only and we need to monitor the outcome of this signal. I will post the current 2D MV MVO indicator setups in a separate post for SPX, please follow it by yourself in the next few days. Free posts don’t show the 2D MV setup for SPX. As you know, I follow ^RUI for equities, however, the same signal is there for SPX500.

All in all, the forecast remains the same as before: SVT is waiting for a trendline-break and a swing-high. The autotrade is removed as the position of SPX 2D timeframe is above V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions meaning slight corrections but safe bullish periods.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/6peGX1WH-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy, and signals an end for the bearish dollar cycle. It’s in line with a possible correction on equities: dollar pops up at equity corrections as demand rises for cash when institutions quit from their long positions.

2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal. The recent pop-up was expected, however we need to note that dollar breached the medium-term bearish trendline and shows initial bullish setups. However, V-MA position on 2D timeframe is slightly below meaning the bullish period should be over in a few days and dollar will continue its way downwards.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/HfnjEyCG-DXY-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge but with a fake bear signal. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. We expected this decline, our target was /GC 1295, however, I thought to see a pop-up before reaching this level. The target almost completed in a day. As SSTIS is a fake bear, I count with a kind of pop-up and drop to the target in the next few days.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/nWEMCisd-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bull/bear switch. It means a bearish trend-change. We can count with a further decline of miners. Target remains GDX 20.7

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/55OA5XJu-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

Oil is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal. No change on the forecast:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/i9QGXQgs-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal.  No change on the forecast here as well:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/xGjgggoc-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds 20+y are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal. Bonds are to drop further. Please observe that while dollar is going up, bonds are making a strong downtrend: this is a bad signal from institutions meaning less and less long-term trust in the sustainable US economy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/GNiOzlBm-ZB-1D-TW/

Bitcoin is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. The MA 50 re-test will happen much faster than I forecasted and still I count with a bullish outcome.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ecz3uXa1-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

Trading update: equities autotrade is removed. Hold existing stakes.

Good luck, have a great week!

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Week-end post

2019/02/03 at 14:16pm Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal with a bull surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. Latter is an immediate buy signal. Position of equities are below V-MA therefore SVT will buy 30% only. Next target of SPX is 2755.9.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/macV7XaI-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed bear with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/mgEoDJHC-DXY-1D-TW/

Next target is DXY 94.7

Gold, Miners

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge sigal. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal and an MVO bull surge. Position of miners is a full 2D HA candle above V-MA, therefore SVT will add 20% more to the existing position.

Next target is 23.3

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/6vbkM0ae-GDX-1D-TW/

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with an end of bull surge signal, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell and an MVO bull surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/FkM9nrJQ-GC-1D-TW/

Energy, oil

Oil is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy and a long-term sell, 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal.Position is well-below V-MA.  Still not safe to buy more.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/TIUnPurc-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics with a possible bear node within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. Not safe as well.

Bonds

Bonds 20+y is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal. I still see bonds as a sideways-moving instrument. When dollar will get a strong confirmation on its dive, bonds might be used as a safe heaven. As per moment, we have a triangle breakout with an immediate negation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/Zcx9A5rA-ZB-1D-TW/

Trading update: add 20% to PMs. Count with a strong correction here any time from now (gap close).

Have a great week-end !

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Week-end post

2018/12/02 at 13:13pm Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a clear fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal.

Stocks are extremely overbought for now in short-term. However, SVT will buy 30% as the bearish trendline is broken and will use the bearish trendline and/or an SH to protect its initial stakes. My expectation is still a kind of correction early next week.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/KvnRu5n0-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a slight sell, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal. Dollar is still rather bearish. I’d like to see dollar to drop below of its trading box.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/jgWUQSD5-DXY-1D-TW/

Miners, Gold

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSITS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. The sideways-move pattern is here as well.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/kMONMK2y-GDX-1D-TW/

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/xSuMoh1Z-GC-1D-TW/

Energy, Oil

Energy is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. I feel it’s better to cover our short position tomorrow @open. As I’m busy, I’ve updated the portfolio just now according to this decision.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/isavrE2z-XOI-1D-TW/

Oil is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an end of bear surge signal.  I feel, oil is bottoming somewhere here.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/8Y02GTtG-CL-1D-TW/

Bonds

Bonds are a confirmed buy with a perfect bear node on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/6KXjEi7O-ZB-1D-TW/

No change on the forecast.

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. Now bitcoin defined a trading box and, as it shows rather bearish indication on the 4th system as well, I’d rather say that bitcoin will test the lower edge of its recent trading box.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/wQmfRirm-BTCUSD-4h-TW/

Trading update: cover bonds short at open. If you take the risk, you can cover at SL.

Have a great week!!

This post is free for your kind reference.

 

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02-NOV-2018 Before the Bell

2018/11/02 at 8:14am Leave a comment

SVT made a nice profit this year, especially in the last 2 months as our signal-system received clear messages about the hidden move of institutional money and we could make appropriate moves before the price manifestation arrived.

Usually I emphasize the importance not to trade all the move of our traded instruments, only trade based on clear setups. Yes, sometimes a trader just sits and waits. However, we received some, important signals now worth to revise, even if we could  complete a flourishing and pretty lucrative period so far.

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy but signals a clear fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. As you know, the proprietary, 4th system gave a clear buy signal 2 days ago, however, oscillators show a massive bearish volume accumulation we saw in the period started in Oct-2015 and finished for Feb-2016.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/vlSvWm3h-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar made a large move down as we forecasted. The size of the move and the time was punctual. Now dollar is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal and a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell and a long-term buy with an almost exhausted MVO bull surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/nRXLerVJ-DXY-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Miners made a large move up by leaving a gap-down behind. The timing and size of move in our forecast was punctual as well. Harmonics is a short-term buy with a long-term sell. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation and with a fake bull setup. It means a correction to come soon. The target will be the recent gap. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an early MVO bear surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/0Icskybo-GDX-1D-TW/

We are in PMs as our auto-trade was triggered I’ve set on 30-OCT.  Please note that GDX is still well below V-MA.

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. It made the forecasted move and reacts on dollar’s move with a high inverse correlation. This is a good sign: my expectation is to see large moves on the PM complex. Gold is a confirmed sell on SSTIS and a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation with an MVO bear surge on 2D MV chart.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/IGIC90sH-GLD-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

We exited from oil and energy in time and now we are in cash since 05-OCT. Harmonics is a confirmed sell with a possible, second bull node within 1-2 trading days. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well.  Next target is /CL 61.9.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/zS6xdYa0-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a clear fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation and an exhausted but massive bear surge. It means after a pop-up, there will be a correction.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/3Ds3zoqu-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds

20+y bonds are a confirmed sell on harmonics. As equities seem to be finding a stop on their recent correction we will see bonds to perform a bottom-test. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal and a clear fake bear. 2D MV chart is a confrimed buy, however, we can see an early MVO bull/bear signal. It means high odds for the continuation of the recent , scary drop.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/YVZ0Fj1U-ZB-1D-TW/

Bitcoin

Bitcoin is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal on harmonics. No signal to finish the 1.5 month of depressive side-moving.

Trading update: hold existing stakes

Have a great week-end!

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Week-end post

2018/10/01 at 7:18am Leave a comment

Equities

Our stocks forecast was pretty punctual, however, something important is happening now.

Stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell and now we have an extremely important signal: an initial, MVO bear/bull/bear switch. On a different setup (long-term subscribers know that setup as RUA 2D momentum) we have an initial MVO bull/bear switch. This is a footstep of a high probability correction. The signal is fresh, also, general market condition is bullish, as price position is above (V-MA is 2825). This is a 3% above position.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/GxQfgcs7-ES-1D-TW/

SVT will autotrade at daily SH with a bucket loaded to 80% (due to the V-MA position).

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. The expected bounce on dollar arrived, however, the bounce was much stronger than forecasted. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. We have an important, MVO bear/bull switch on dollar with a V-MA position of price AT V-MA. The MVO signal is pretty fresh, and we must wait 1-2 trading days for the final rollups, however, as per moment the highest probability scenario is a strong uptrend.

This is a major change in our long-term expectation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/xfBLfjMr-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Our PM forecast became easy for now, as we have clear and declared signals for dollar and equities meaning high probability scenarios for the PM sector as well.

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an initial MVO bear surge. V-MA is well-below, it means the forecasted dive will continue and the probability is extremely high.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/IjWcMq0n-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear and a bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. Based on the signal of dollar, equities and gold, miners have a high probability scenario to drop:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/kzEJbf1H-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

Oil is a confirmed buy on harmonics with a possible bear node within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/OINNrRWG-CL-1D-TW/

No change on forecast, only made it a little more precise.

Energy stocks are a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/k83G7POF-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds

The expected bounce on bonds arrived in time, however the bounce was weaker than the forecast. Harmonics is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation but there is an initial MVO bear/Bull switch for now. It’s in line with the readings on equities and dollar: the expected drop on equities will generate demand for cash, also large institutions will target bonds immediately. Bonds are pretty cheap for now, also they are ‘safe’ according to the conservative measures.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/i0SmLxh5-ZB-1D-TW/

SVT will buy 40% long position at SL

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. Bitocin will suffer some pressure now as dollar will rise, also it has correlation to equities and equities are to correct.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/LxWGtKdf-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

Trading update: buy to 80% short if equities form an SH, buy 20+y bonds if there’s an SL. These are autotrades.

Have a great week!

This post is free for your kind evaluation. Usually there are 2-3 free post when a new month begins, rest for my subscribers.

You can subscribe for premium membership at

http://www.svtpremium.com/members/signup.cfm

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Week-end post

2017/10/02 at 8:43am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks produced a new ATH on /ES for now. Harmonics is still a confirmed buy. SSTIS has a short-term buy signal with a longer-term sell. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell and a longer-term buy.
2D momentum chart signals a bullish cycle, 2D fakeout chart is a non-fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/e1UkxnUC-ES-1D-TS/

Not too much to do here, the secondary bullish trendline is set now and stocks will move sideways till the trendline is intact, then correct.

Dollar

Dollar is still a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. 2D fakeout chart is still a fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed
buy with an eliminated MVO bull surge.
Now the scenario for our forecast we made last week -the pop-up and then drop for PMs- gives an explanation what can we expect from dollar: a quick drop and pop up move will be mirrored by PMs.

I still remain short on dollar, however the second drop should produce a lower high for a bearish continuation, otherwise dollar is to bounce and continue as a bullish asset for a while.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7437Pwxl-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics. A bull node is expected within 1-2 trading days.
SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. 2D fakeout for gold is a fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/vhW0YoXg-GC-1D-TW/

Silver is a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a perfect bull node today. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well.

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a bull node within 1-2 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy, also we have a fake bear signal here.
2D MV chart signals a confirmed sell, 2D MV fakeout chart signals a non-fake bear.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/bSoxj9lM-GDX-1D-TW/

For both gold and miners the bounce and drop will deliver an important message: if the second pop-up will start from a higher low than the recent low (right translated bottom) then we will see the PM complex to go upwards.
Otherwise we need to count with some, further correction.

Oil, Energy

XOI  (XLE) touched an important, MA200 target and bounced back last Friday. Harmonics is a confirmed buy. Short-term condition of energy stocks is extremely overbought.
SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. A slight drop and then some correction will happen.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/BFj4Z5rZ-XLE-1D-TW/

Oil is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is almost a short-term sell but still a longer-term buy.
Oil managed a full HA candle above of its V-MA meaning general bullish conditions. After the correction target is 54.17.
SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

Crypto

Harmonics is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. Now BTC is extremely overbought in short-term.
Most probably BTC forms a HS. We need to wait in order to see the translation of the HS formation. As the secular bull trendline is still intact, odds are pretty high seeing a right translated HS meaning a bullish continuation in longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/S4qs48qH-BTCUSD/

As you can see, the secular bull trendline is still intact.

Good luck and have a great week!

Trading update: SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

This post was free. Rest of October is for premium members only.

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29-SEP-2017 Before the Bell

2017/09/29 at 4:09am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell and with a bull surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal. My forecast needs no change, target is still /ES 2465 after a squiggle.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/vaXVhJQs-ES-1D-TW/

 

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics with a bear node to for within 2-3 trading days.  SSTIS is still a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy, 2D MV fakeout chart for dollar is a fake bull. It might happen that dollar will test the top of its recent trading box at /DX 93.7 – 93.8 but still, odds are pretty high seeing dollar to fail and continue its way down.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/dJs5NMsr-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics with a possible bull node within 2-3 trading days. As you can see, node events of dollar and gold are in match. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell and with a fake bull setup. It means gold will bounce but then will drop a little when the bull node arrives. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/PsLDJqsT-GC-1D-TS/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well. The characteristics of forecasted move is similar to gold.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CmMxZevy-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil

Oil is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy.

SVT will fill its bucket to 100% at swing-low.

The only thing I need to change on my almost 2 weeks old forecast is the timing of the swing-high, it arrived 1 day earlier than estimated.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/r48RJWWO-CL1DTW/

Crypto/BTC

Bitcoin is still a confirmed sell on harmonics and there is a bull node to be formed within 2-3 trading days. It means odds are high seeing a dive for this week-end. 3178 the swing-high arrived just in time and now a drop started. Target is 3511 first. If that target fails, then next target is 3160.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/92YSSZ9P-BTCUSD/

Trading update: autotfill oil bucket to long 100% at swing-low.

Have a great week-end!

This post and the week-end post are free.

 

 

 

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30-AUG-2017 Before the Bell

2017/08/30 at 1:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy and a longer-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy but a fake bull, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell. 2D MV fakeout chart shows a fake bull setup. As long as equities are moving in their forecasted price  channel, we have not too much to do. As you see, our indicators show higher chance for a bearish continuation, but each time market is to dive, FED steps in and pushes  dollar down to the earth instead of letting it down. In my view, it’s just a matter of time we will see a stronger correction and longer this FED-game lasts larger the correction will be.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/8Z5ZPn26-ES-1D-TW/

and let’s see the 2D MV fakeout chart:

2017-08-30_RUA2DMV

Dollar

Dollar  is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a confirmed sell with a bear surge on SSTIS and a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on 2D MV chart with an MVO bear surge starting to develop.

As I told you, there was a critical level dollar had to test. My forecast  was a failed dollar with its temporary bullish contra and then the lower edge of its trading box at 92.520. Dollar completed that target and managed a breach of support: dollar is bearish in a longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7n8DIKAb-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics and has a bear node. The node itself happened yesterday. Price manifestation to arrive within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. We must take 2D MV singals seriously. Odds are pretty high we will see a correction, maybe next week.

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics, and they formed a bear node yesterday as well. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

As you know, I forecasted a correction both for miners and gold, but then a hysteric rise. Gold and miners skipped the correction and made their bullish rally. Now they are both above of V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions. SVT will keep its gold and miners stakes.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CcjUxJYI-GDX/

Oil

The black gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a fake bear with a short-term sell but a longer-term buy on SSTIS and a confirmed sell on 2D MV chart. Oil started to signal an accelerating bearish trendline as well. We expected this decline and I will wait for a swing-low. SVT sets up a trailing swing-low core buy from now on and will perform an auto-buy at that moment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/z5PpP3De-CL-1D-TW/

Crypto

As per your recent request, I will serve you with a non-reqular update on cryptocurrencies. As there is an ETF has strong correlation to BTC – the ETF name is GBTC, it shows up on harmonics system. Harmonics signals an ATH now and a confirmed buy with a high probability bear node to come in 2-3 trading days. Price manifestation usually arrives in 2-3 trading days after the bear node meaning a high probability correction for BTC within 4-6 trading days. Further details on BTC will come via my TWITTER, please subscribe to the TWITTER account. Cryptos are fast moving assets and need swift moves. However, if you have no time, you can set up a trailing swing-high autotrade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/bDZNOXNd-BTC-BTCUSD/

Trading update: set autotrade for a core on Oil and XOI: condition is swing-low, core is 30%

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Have a great day!

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02-AUG-2017 Before the Bell

2017/08/02 at 2:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with long-term confirmation on harmonics with a bear node expected in 2-3 working days. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy with an MVO bull surge. Position of stocks is well-above of V-MA. The expected price manifestation of the bear node will arrive 1-2 days after the bear node will be formed and target of /ES will be 2450. However, in the short period (until the bear node is formed) stocks will go up, maybe produce a new ATH.

2017-08-02_ES1DTS

 

Dollar

Dollar reached its forecasted target. Next target is $DXY 91.8. Dollar formed a perfect bull node as we expected and made a swing-low for now. My forecast was to see a bounce for a short period but then dollar will fail and go lower. Harmonics is a confirmed sell, SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal. It might happen that dollar will generate a slight sideways move only for a few days, but then will go further down.

Dollar is well below of its V-MA

Gold, Miners

Gold will generate a short-term sell signal with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. Primary target of /GC will be 1260.  SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge: gold is mirroring the dollar. Position of gold became above V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions.

Miners are almost a short-term sell signal on harmonics with a loner-term buy. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and a fake bear setup.  2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with a bull surge signal.

The highest probability scenario for miners as below:

2017-08-02_GDX1DTS

Oil

The black gold is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with a bull surge signal. Position of oil is below V-MA.

As oil is overbought and gave a short-term sell signal, the best thing is to wait for a cleaner signal.

Trading update: no trade today, hold existing stakes.

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Week-end post

2017/07/31 at 2:01am Leave a comment

We are on track, things happen as per out forecast and we took profit last Friday. Now the task is sit  patiently and check how the liquidity trap will manifest and what will be the reaction of FED in August.

As all the story is about liquidity trap, I change the usual order to show dollar first and then put all our assets into the context dollar shows us.

Dollar

The acceleration channel is still a strong boundary for dollar. We can see some hesitation for a few days within the channel but then FED interacts and that helps equities to levitate or produce  a new high. These highs are fundamentally fake, no real value or production behind, however, the technique is known well, also will put the US government and taxpayers into an extremely expensive loan (bonds) payback situation via commodity spiral and expensive production/import. The benefit of inflation is positive in short term but generates a mountain of issues in a long-term We can clearly state that this level of manipulation is an old-fashioned, conservative technique, also hides more danger than benefit as can ignite a currency war.

Trump failed and will drag his country down in the next few years; he could pretend to know what to do in a critical situation during the election regarding to the economical situation, but he is lack of understanding of global dependencies and consequences of strong patriotism. I was neutral about him so far but now my statement is based on facts and figures and has no emotional or political bindings.

Anyway, our role is to ride this all situation and try to make some money on the upcoming events. The sequence of events are well-known based on history, the only question is timing. Former is a fundamental knowledge, latter is understanding assets, their behaviors and using our proprietary signals try to trade the main trends will  be formed in the upcoming 1-2 years.

Back to trading, dollar failed at its last support and will form a new bull node within 2-3 trading days. Harmonics signals a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation yet. As we discussed, next target is 93.01 on $DXY.

SSTIS is neutral and shows no buy signal as per moment. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy and shows a near-exhaustion state of the recent MVO bear surge.

Let me show you the highest probability scenario:

2017-07-31_USD1DTS

As you can see, I counted in the slight bullish signal on harmonics and the bull node to come, also the neutral status of SSTIS. 2D MV chart is still a bear, therefore my best bet is to see the bounce to fail and dollar will continue its way down.

Let me show you the larger picture of dollar:

2017-07-31_USD1Db

So, as you can see, dollar has place to dive, even my expectation is a liquidity trap to arrive soon. Trump and his fellows will let the dollar down, further down, making the export cheaper for buyers -they believe-, so it’s a match with his patriotic policy. Also, for a while fresh bonds will produce near-zero or negative return, which also a benefit in a 1-2 years of scenario, however, if there will be a loss on profit for US bond buyers and they burn their fingers with it, their won’t buy bonds, only if bonds rates will skyrocket….

As we know China holds a large sum of US bonds, and if they lose on a business, they won’t do that again…

Gold, Miners

In front of the sharp decline of dollar both gold and miners should skyrocket, meaning 2-4% days for gold, 3-6% days for miners and silver. However, they are showing meandering nature and rather suggest that PM traders are waiting for a bouncing dollar to load further bullish stakes.

My note about dollar became…..sesquipedalian, so from now on, I will only read and tell the indicators from my system:

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics with overbought status. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, harmonics is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. Gold is to reach the zone of /GC 1290s soon but then, as dollar will bounce, the highest probabilit scenario is a correction. Gold is still at V-MA on 2D MV chart meaning a rather neutral status in a longer-term.

Miners follow our forecast, setups are similar to gold, no need to change our few weeks old forecast:

2017-07-31_GDX1DTS

Setup of miners and silver are similar to gold.

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics, SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup, 2D MV chart gave a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation with an MVO bull surge. It means even if we  will see a correction this week, stocks will revive as the correction will be only due to an institutional profit-taking even will generate the MVO bull surge to eliminate and then the bull -with a less powerful momentum- will revive. Position of stocks is above V-MA

Oil

Oil is extremely overbought on harmonics, otherwise a confirmed buy. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge and a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge on 2D MV chart. Position of oil is still below V-MA.

We took profit for both silver and oil. Rest of our PM holdings are in and I will wait with any further profit-taking.

Trading update: no trade today.

Have a great week!

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