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Week-end post

2018/04/02 at 7:29am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy on harmonics with a long-term sell signal. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVo bear surge. It means that the bearish pressure will continue this week with a drop on equities.

No need to change/modify my forecast:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/tBrkYGNX-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal. It means that dollar is still a longer-term bear for institutions.

Dollar must leave its recent trading box with a decisive signal. While it’s a bear for institutions by volume studies, its price is neutral as per moment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7hbVzzpD-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal with a fake bear setup. It means gold will pop-up in the next few days. We had this forecast from early last week and we are in PMs even they made their expected dive. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an almost exhausted bull surge. It means there was a shadow-buy even gold was correcting last week.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/wKmP4dwV-GC-1D-TW/

Gold will remain bumpy as long as there won’t be a decisive direction of dollar.

Miners are a long-term buy with a short-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal. 2D MV chart is still a confirmed buy with a massive MVO bull surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/73HCgfCY-GDX-1D-TW/

Our metal exposure is pretty high and I will add when I have further bullish confirmation (dollar will get a clear direction).

Oil, Energy

The expected correction arrived 2 days earlier than I forecasted. Otherwise oil is still bullish.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/lUjhVfU7-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are practically about moving sideways.

Our oil/energy exposure is pretty high and I will seek for a profit-taking event in the next 5-7 trading days.

Bonds

We bought a slight bullish position for 20+y bonds close to the bottom. Bonds were at extremely low levels of V-MA, therefore I didn’t take the risk of adding more than a core position. Now we made a pretty nice sum on bonds and we have a massive MVO bull surge signal on 2D MV chart. As bonds are still below of V-Ma on 2D chart but bullish on our short-term systemas harmonics and SSTIS as well and now there will be a visual golden bullish cross (MA 20/50) I’m adding up to 50% of exposure.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/Dpc1HxmA-ZB-1D-TW/

Crypto

Bitcoin had a textbook-sample bull node on harmonics 2 days ago. Now the price manifestation is there. BTC was extremely overbought and as I warned you this asset collapsed. Maybe it’s a new thing for other, but I was the eyewitness the 2008 crisis, the collapse of silver and miners, and now bitcoin. We took profit in time and since, we nibble only at the lowest points and a small portion only. Please bear in mind: BTC STILL values 7k USD after the collapse meaning in spite of all the misery happened with the blockhain  based cripto-currency complex, it’s still strong and the industry it represents is still vital. As a trader I will only get in massively, if I see a strong buy signal. As BTC fell out of its secular bull price channel, only short, few days of trades will happen. Now I’m in and will get out at swing-high.

On top of the clear bull node setup on harmonics, I received a buy signal just today on my other system, and a third system is to give a buy signal within 2 trading days. So, I’m in. Again, a moderate position only.

As you can see, BTC is in an enermous triangle consolidation phase (typical shock pattern). It’s a kind of negotiation will be used as a foundation of any further development.
If prices will break out and trade above the triangle, then the price we eyewitness now will be an extremely strong basis and we will see prices above. If the outcome is contrary, then BTC will collapse and drop. The best strategy in my view is to stick on my method, seek for a clear buy and then make a short-term trade as long as there won’t be a resolution of the triangle setup. The time of that is the cross of the two stems (end of May)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/mPitmcCO-BTCUSD/

Good luck!

 

Trading update: add bonds 20+y to 50% long at open, prepare mentally for oil/energy exit, prepare mentally for equity long buy.

 

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Week-end post

2017/10/02 at 8:43am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks produced a new ATH on /ES for now. Harmonics is still a confirmed buy. SSTIS has a short-term buy signal with a longer-term sell. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell and a longer-term buy.
2D momentum chart signals a bullish cycle, 2D fakeout chart is a non-fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/e1UkxnUC-ES-1D-TS/

Not too much to do here, the secondary bullish trendline is set now and stocks will move sideways till the trendline is intact, then correct.

Dollar

Dollar is still a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. 2D fakeout chart is still a fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed
buy with an eliminated MVO bull surge.
Now the scenario for our forecast we made last week -the pop-up and then drop for PMs- gives an explanation what can we expect from dollar: a quick drop and pop up move will be mirrored by PMs.

I still remain short on dollar, however the second drop should produce a lower high for a bearish continuation, otherwise dollar is to bounce and continue as a bullish asset for a while.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7437Pwxl-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics. A bull node is expected within 1-2 trading days.
SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. 2D fakeout for gold is a fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/vhW0YoXg-GC-1D-TW/

Silver is a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a perfect bull node today. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well.

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a bull node within 1-2 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy, also we have a fake bear signal here.
2D MV chart signals a confirmed sell, 2D MV fakeout chart signals a non-fake bear.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/bSoxj9lM-GDX-1D-TW/

For both gold and miners the bounce and drop will deliver an important message: if the second pop-up will start from a higher low than the recent low (right translated bottom) then we will see the PM complex to go upwards.
Otherwise we need to count with some, further correction.

Oil, Energy

XOI  (XLE) touched an important, MA200 target and bounced back last Friday. Harmonics is a confirmed buy. Short-term condition of energy stocks is extremely overbought.
SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. A slight drop and then some correction will happen.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/BFj4Z5rZ-XLE-1D-TW/

Oil is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is almost a short-term sell but still a longer-term buy.
Oil managed a full HA candle above of its V-MA meaning general bullish conditions. After the correction target is 54.17.
SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

Crypto

Harmonics is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. Now BTC is extremely overbought in short-term.
Most probably BTC forms a HS. We need to wait in order to see the translation of the HS formation. As the secular bull trendline is still intact, odds are pretty high seeing a right translated HS meaning a bullish continuation in longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/S4qs48qH-BTCUSD/

As you can see, the secular bull trendline is still intact.

Good luck and have a great week!

Trading update: SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

This post was free. Rest of October is for premium members only.

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29-SEP-2017 Before the Bell

2017/09/29 at 4:09am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell and with a bull surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal. My forecast needs no change, target is still /ES 2465 after a squiggle.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/vaXVhJQs-ES-1D-TW/

 

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics with a bear node to for within 2-3 trading days.  SSTIS is still a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy, 2D MV fakeout chart for dollar is a fake bull. It might happen that dollar will test the top of its recent trading box at /DX 93.7 – 93.8 but still, odds are pretty high seeing dollar to fail and continue its way down.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/dJs5NMsr-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics with a possible bull node within 2-3 trading days. As you can see, node events of dollar and gold are in match. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell and with a fake bull setup. It means gold will bounce but then will drop a little when the bull node arrives. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/PsLDJqsT-GC-1D-TS/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well. The characteristics of forecasted move is similar to gold.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CmMxZevy-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil

Oil is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy.

SVT will fill its bucket to 100% at swing-low.

The only thing I need to change on my almost 2 weeks old forecast is the timing of the swing-high, it arrived 1 day earlier than estimated.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/r48RJWWO-CL1DTW/

Crypto/BTC

Bitcoin is still a confirmed sell on harmonics and there is a bull node to be formed within 2-3 trading days. It means odds are high seeing a dive for this week-end. 3178 the swing-high arrived just in time and now a drop started. Target is 3511 first. If that target fails, then next target is 3160.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/92YSSZ9P-BTCUSD/

Trading update: autotfill oil bucket to long 100% at swing-low.

Have a great week-end!

This post and the week-end post are free.

 

 

 

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30-AUG-2017 Before the Bell

2017/08/30 at 1:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy and a longer-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy but a fake bull, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell. 2D MV fakeout chart shows a fake bull setup. As long as equities are moving in their forecasted price  channel, we have not too much to do. As you see, our indicators show higher chance for a bearish continuation, but each time market is to dive, FED steps in and pushes  dollar down to the earth instead of letting it down. In my view, it’s just a matter of time we will see a stronger correction and longer this FED-game lasts larger the correction will be.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/8Z5ZPn26-ES-1D-TW/

and let’s see the 2D MV fakeout chart:

2017-08-30_RUA2DMV

Dollar

Dollar  is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a confirmed sell with a bear surge on SSTIS and a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on 2D MV chart with an MVO bear surge starting to develop.

As I told you, there was a critical level dollar had to test. My forecast  was a failed dollar with its temporary bullish contra and then the lower edge of its trading box at 92.520. Dollar completed that target and managed a breach of support: dollar is bearish in a longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7n8DIKAb-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics and has a bear node. The node itself happened yesterday. Price manifestation to arrive within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. We must take 2D MV singals seriously. Odds are pretty high we will see a correction, maybe next week.

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics, and they formed a bear node yesterday as well. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

As you know, I forecasted a correction both for miners and gold, but then a hysteric rise. Gold and miners skipped the correction and made their bullish rally. Now they are both above of V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions. SVT will keep its gold and miners stakes.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CcjUxJYI-GDX/

Oil

The black gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a fake bear with a short-term sell but a longer-term buy on SSTIS and a confirmed sell on 2D MV chart. Oil started to signal an accelerating bearish trendline as well. We expected this decline and I will wait for a swing-low. SVT sets up a trailing swing-low core buy from now on and will perform an auto-buy at that moment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/z5PpP3De-CL-1D-TW/

Crypto

As per your recent request, I will serve you with a non-reqular update on cryptocurrencies. As there is an ETF has strong correlation to BTC – the ETF name is GBTC, it shows up on harmonics system. Harmonics signals an ATH now and a confirmed buy with a high probability bear node to come in 2-3 trading days. Price manifestation usually arrives in 2-3 trading days after the bear node meaning a high probability correction for BTC within 4-6 trading days. Further details on BTC will come via my TWITTER, please subscribe to the TWITTER account. Cryptos are fast moving assets and need swift moves. However, if you have no time, you can set up a trailing swing-high autotrade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/bDZNOXNd-BTC-BTCUSD/

Trading update: set autotrade for a core on Oil and XOI: condition is swing-low, core is 30%

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Have a great day!

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02-AUG-2017 Before the Bell

2017/08/02 at 2:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with long-term confirmation on harmonics with a bear node expected in 2-3 working days. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy with an MVO bull surge. Position of stocks is well-above of V-MA. The expected price manifestation of the bear node will arrive 1-2 days after the bear node will be formed and target of /ES will be 2450. However, in the short period (until the bear node is formed) stocks will go up, maybe produce a new ATH.

2017-08-02_ES1DTS

 

Dollar

Dollar reached its forecasted target. Next target is $DXY 91.8. Dollar formed a perfect bull node as we expected and made a swing-low for now. My forecast was to see a bounce for a short period but then dollar will fail and go lower. Harmonics is a confirmed sell, SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal. It might happen that dollar will generate a slight sideways move only for a few days, but then will go further down.

Dollar is well below of its V-MA

Gold, Miners

Gold will generate a short-term sell signal with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. Primary target of /GC will be 1260.  SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge: gold is mirroring the dollar. Position of gold became above V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions.

Miners are almost a short-term sell signal on harmonics with a loner-term buy. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and a fake bear setup.  2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with a bull surge signal.

The highest probability scenario for miners as below:

2017-08-02_GDX1DTS

Oil

The black gold is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with a bull surge signal. Position of oil is below V-MA.

As oil is overbought and gave a short-term sell signal, the best thing is to wait for a cleaner signal.

Trading update: no trade today, hold existing stakes.

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Week-end post

2017/07/31 at 2:01am Leave a comment

We are on track, things happen as per out forecast and we took profit last Friday. Now the task is sit  patiently and check how the liquidity trap will manifest and what will be the reaction of FED in August.

As all the story is about liquidity trap, I change the usual order to show dollar first and then put all our assets into the context dollar shows us.

Dollar

The acceleration channel is still a strong boundary for dollar. We can see some hesitation for a few days within the channel but then FED interacts and that helps equities to levitate or produce  a new high. These highs are fundamentally fake, no real value or production behind, however, the technique is known well, also will put the US government and taxpayers into an extremely expensive loan (bonds) payback situation via commodity spiral and expensive production/import. The benefit of inflation is positive in short term but generates a mountain of issues in a long-term We can clearly state that this level of manipulation is an old-fashioned, conservative technique, also hides more danger than benefit as can ignite a currency war.

Trump failed and will drag his country down in the next few years; he could pretend to know what to do in a critical situation during the election regarding to the economical situation, but he is lack of understanding of global dependencies and consequences of strong patriotism. I was neutral about him so far but now my statement is based on facts and figures and has no emotional or political bindings.

Anyway, our role is to ride this all situation and try to make some money on the upcoming events. The sequence of events are well-known based on history, the only question is timing. Former is a fundamental knowledge, latter is understanding assets, their behaviors and using our proprietary signals try to trade the main trends will  be formed in the upcoming 1-2 years.

Back to trading, dollar failed at its last support and will form a new bull node within 2-3 trading days. Harmonics signals a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation yet. As we discussed, next target is 93.01 on $DXY.

SSTIS is neutral and shows no buy signal as per moment. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy and shows a near-exhaustion state of the recent MVO bear surge.

Let me show you the highest probability scenario:

2017-07-31_USD1DTS

As you can see, I counted in the slight bullish signal on harmonics and the bull node to come, also the neutral status of SSTIS. 2D MV chart is still a bear, therefore my best bet is to see the bounce to fail and dollar will continue its way down.

Let me show you the larger picture of dollar:

2017-07-31_USD1Db

So, as you can see, dollar has place to dive, even my expectation is a liquidity trap to arrive soon. Trump and his fellows will let the dollar down, further down, making the export cheaper for buyers -they believe-, so it’s a match with his patriotic policy. Also, for a while fresh bonds will produce near-zero or negative return, which also a benefit in a 1-2 years of scenario, however, if there will be a loss on profit for US bond buyers and they burn their fingers with it, their won’t buy bonds, only if bonds rates will skyrocket….

As we know China holds a large sum of US bonds, and if they lose on a business, they won’t do that again…

Gold, Miners

In front of the sharp decline of dollar both gold and miners should skyrocket, meaning 2-4% days for gold, 3-6% days for miners and silver. However, they are showing meandering nature and rather suggest that PM traders are waiting for a bouncing dollar to load further bullish stakes.

My note about dollar became…..sesquipedalian, so from now on, I will only read and tell the indicators from my system:

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics with overbought status. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, harmonics is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. Gold is to reach the zone of /GC 1290s soon but then, as dollar will bounce, the highest probabilit scenario is a correction. Gold is still at V-MA on 2D MV chart meaning a rather neutral status in a longer-term.

Miners follow our forecast, setups are similar to gold, no need to change our few weeks old forecast:

2017-07-31_GDX1DTS

Setup of miners and silver are similar to gold.

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics, SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup, 2D MV chart gave a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation with an MVO bull surge. It means even if we  will see a correction this week, stocks will revive as the correction will be only due to an institutional profit-taking even will generate the MVO bull surge to eliminate and then the bull -with a less powerful momentum- will revive. Position of stocks is above V-MA

Oil

Oil is extremely overbought on harmonics, otherwise a confirmed buy. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge and a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge on 2D MV chart. Position of oil is still below V-MA.

We took profit for both silver and oil. Rest of our PM holdings are in and I will wait with any further profit-taking.

Trading update: no trade today.

Have a great week!

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12-JUL-2017 Before the Bell

2017/07/12 at 9:04am Leave a comment

Equities

As we discussed and expected, stocks revived after a pretty strong dive intraday. The panic of FED was clear, and as we forecasted, they saved the situation by pushing dollar down. Stocks are a short-term buy and a longer-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. Everything is prepared for a stronger dive. Our highest probability scenario was to see a mid-term liquidity trap on dollar. That means FED’s magic wand will be inefficient for a while and stocks will drop. Still target is /ES 2405 then 2341.

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

Gold, Miners, silver

Gold is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal, and we have a fake bull setup here. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal and with a bear surge signal. Any recovery for gold will be a temporary one only and then gold will drop again. Next target will be below /GC 1200s.

Miners are a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. SSTIS is a confirmed sell wit a fake  bull setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal. GDX will perform a bottom test after its 21.88 target.

Silver is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. SSTIS gave a short-term bottom signal, otherwise silver is a confirmed sell and the recent pop-up is a temporary bull only and will exhaust soon. 2D MV chart signals a confirmed sell with a strong bear surge signal.

Oil

The black gold is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. SVT  has 30% of position in oil as the trailing swing low signal is fullfilled.

Trading update: hold existing stakes.

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Week-end post

2017/07/09 at 17:35pm Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks made  their expected decline. The question is now if institutional bears strong enough to generate a stronger dive or they will fail again and face to a bear trap in July. Opex  is on 21st of July, so there is 2 weeks left. Institutions usually make their last attempt to save some bearish positions 2 days before the Opex,  usualy on Wednesday. That’s 19th of July. Harmonics signals a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation meaning a bear trap in a shorter-term. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. 2D MV fakeout chart signals a non-fake bear setup.

2017-07-09_RUA2Dff

As you can see, we have a non-fake bear setup on 2D MV chart: oscillators are in sync meaning institutional short vs. long-term bearish accumulations are in sync. However, I miss the bearish volume indication. It means that the highest probability scenario is to see stocks to spike up next week, but then their way is down. Next logical target is /ES 2390 then 2345.

Dollar

As we observe in the last few months, FED balances the weakness of equity market with inflationary pressure. I gave a forecast for a bouncing dollar and that bounce was there last week. The bounce is extremely weak, and it was our expectation. Harmonics is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation, SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell and with a clear fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with an almost long-term sell signal. Odds are pretty high that FED will continue its inflationary game by direct intervention in the few next weeks and will save the situation again.

Gold, Miners

PMs in freefall. I gave this forecast a few weeks ago, but the strength of the correction surprises me.  It’s simply shocking. As you know, I was skeptic about PMs for a while and SVT portfolio is rather in cash for its PM buckets. PMs start to be a bargain and we need to seek for a setup for a buy.

Harmonics is a confirmed sell and signals 3-5 of further dive for a bull node for gold. Target of /GC 1214 is breached now and the next strong target is 1195. If gold will go there, that will shock PM traders as it just happens in an extreme inflationary period, however, this scenario has the highest probability as per moment. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, we have no buy signal here. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well and has an MVO bear surge signal.

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics as well. Now we have 2 gaps up and 2 small and 2 major gaps down. Primary target is still 20.89. Chart below shows all the gaps miners have downwards:

2017-07-09_GDX1DTS

SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal.

Silver has a target of SLV 14.03 then 13.73. Harmonics is a confirmed sell for silver and shows min 3-5 trading days until the first bull node . There was a brutal stop-hunt on futures last Friday. That aimed to harvest all the stops below /SI 14.61 and checking the hourly volumes on futures the attempt was pretty successful. SSTIS signals a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart signals a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal as well.

Oil

The black stuff made a swing-high for last Friday. Now we will seek for an entry point to buy. Harmonics is a confirmed sell, SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy and with a fake bear setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. I must say, oil is about finding a ground and the recent dive was a forecasted event, however now oil will be a buy after a swing low. I place an autotrade for a trailing swing-low.

Trading update: Oil 30% buy with a trailing swing-low.

Have a great week!

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06-JUL-2017 Before the Bell

2017/07/06 at 7:16am Leave a comment

Equities

/ES is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a long-term sell with a short-term buy signal and signals a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. It means, even stocks pretend to recover in short-term, they will start a stronger decline.

2017-07-06_ES1DTS

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with an end of bear surge signal. SSTIS signals a fake bull setup. It means the bear surge exhausted, short-term dollar bears covered their stakes and took profit, however at the bounce, there was a pretty strong institutional bearish position accumulation meaning high odds that dollar will continue its way down soon. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal but with an MVO bear surge signal. The decline will resume soon, FED is in panic because of critical internals on equities.

Gold, Miners

We expected a decline for both gold and miners. Harmonics is a confirmed sell now. Primary target is completed next target is /GC 1196.  The bounce lasted for a day only, it was surprisingly short. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge signal.

Miners are on their forecasted way as well. Harmonics is a confirmed sell, SSTIS is a confirmed  sell as well with a bear surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with a slight MVO bear surge signal.

As you know I was skeptic about silver. I will start to think about taking a position once it shows a swing-low at least. Otherwise silver is still not a buy.

Trading update: hold existing stakes, protect your cash.

 

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Week-end post

2017/05/01 at 4:26am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy with longer-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge exhaustion and with a fake bear setup. Odds are pretty high seeing a correction this week targeting /ES 2356. SVT is 90% short on equities. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge signal. It means, even the short-term outlook is about a correction, stocks will produce a bullish period in mid-term.

The most important signal is the 2D fakeout chart: It’s a clear fake bull. So, while I expect squiggles, then a bullish breakout, then odds are pretty high seeing a quick decline after that.

Let me show you the forecast for the next 2 weeks and then the 2D MV fakeout chart:

2017-05-01_ES1DTS

2017-05-01_RUA2Dff

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on  harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no longer-term confirmation and with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with a bear surge setup.

The short-term forecast is still to see dollar to close the small gap at 99.37 but then continue its way down. Let me show you the forecast:

2017-05-01_USD1DTS

Gold, Miners

Gold is in a short-term oversold territory now on harmonics. However, gold is still a short-term sell only with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. This is a bullish signal. SSTIS is a confirmed sell but signals a short-term fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an exhausted MVO bull/bear surge signal. 2D MV fakeout chart signals a fake bear setup. PM traders watch and follow dollar and I feel, they are preparing for cheap institutional bullish positions on gold, miners and silver.

SVT will wait for a swing-low on gold and will autoadd 20% on a swing-low.

Miners are oversold is short-term and they are a confirmed sell on harmonics. The gap of GDX 23.06 is still open, so any bullish pop-up will target that  level as a primary target. However, harmonics suggests min. 2-4 trading days until the first bull node (bearish exhaustion)will happen. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with no buy sign yet. There is a swing-low  on harmonics,  but we turned the autotrade signal off before last week as we could see and forecast the recent decline. As the swing-low  is there, we need to check the setups and make a trading decision: short-term signals are bearish and have no buy signal. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVO bear surge. 2D fakeout chart is a fake bear but the MVO bear surge signal is still on. No buy yet, position is below V-MA.

We have no position on silver. I was waiting for an entry and still to monitor this asset. Silver is in an extreme oversold status in short-term. Harmonics signals a confirmed sell and signals 2-4 traing days until the next bull node (bearish exhaustion). SSTIS is a confirmed sell with an initial bear surge signal. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with a bear surge signal. I will wait for a swing low and set no autotrade yet. The position I will take will be a long one, and a core position, but it’s not time yet.

Oil, energy

We have no position on oil after our recent profit taking on oil and energy and still waiting for an entry point. Harmonics signals a confirmed sell. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation and with a clear fake bull setup. As I told in my former post, odds are high for a further decline of oil. 2D MV chart still signals a confirmed sell with an exhausted bear surge signal. I’m still to seek for a safer entry on the long side. That moment is not here yet.

Energy stocks are a confirmed sell on harmonics. They made a dive below of the long-term bearish trendline last week. We made that forecast in mid January and while we could manage to make profit of that decline now we are on a neutral position for energy stocks. SSTIS is a confirmed buy coupled with a bear surge and a fake bull setup. XOI (XLE) is still to dive further down. SVT will wait with buying a long position. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

2017-05-01_XLE1DTS

Traidng update: autoadd gold at swing-low, not other trade

Good luck and have a great week!

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