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Week-end post

2018/10/01 at 7:18am Leave a comment

Equities

Our stocks forecast was pretty punctual, however, something important is happening now.

Stocks are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell and now we have an extremely important signal: an initial, MVO bear/bull/bear switch. On a different setup (long-term subscribers know that setup as RUA 2D momentum) we have an initial MVO bull/bear switch. This is a footstep of a high probability correction. The signal is fresh, also, general market condition is bullish, as price position is above (V-MA is 2825). This is a 3% above position.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/GxQfgcs7-ES-1D-TW/

SVT will autotrade at daily SH with a bucket loaded to 80% (due to the V-MA position).

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. The expected bounce on dollar arrived, however, the bounce was much stronger than forecasted. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. We have an important, MVO bear/bull switch on dollar with a V-MA position of price AT V-MA. The MVO signal is pretty fresh, and we must wait 1-2 trading days for the final rollups, however, as per moment the highest probability scenario is a strong uptrend.

This is a major change in our long-term expectation.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/xfBLfjMr-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Our PM forecast became easy for now, as we have clear and declared signals for dollar and equities meaning high probability scenarios for the PM sector as well.

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an initial MVO bear surge. V-MA is well-below, it means the forecasted dive will continue and the probability is extremely high.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/IjWcMq0n-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a fake bear and a bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. Based on the signal of dollar, equities and gold, miners have a high probability scenario to drop:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/kzEJbf1H-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil, Energy

Oil is a confirmed buy on harmonics with a possible bear node within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/OINNrRWG-CL-1D-TW/

No change on forecast, only made it a little more precise.

Energy stocks are a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bear surge signal, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an MVO bull surge.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/k83G7POF-XOI-1D-TW/

Bonds

The expected bounce on bonds arrived in time, however the bounce was weaker than the forecast. Harmonics is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation but there is an initial MVO bear/Bull switch for now. It’s in line with the readings on equities and dollar: the expected drop on equities will generate demand for cash, also large institutions will target bonds immediately. Bonds are pretty cheap for now, also they are ‘safe’ according to the conservative measures.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/i0SmLxh5-ZB-1D-TW/

SVT will buy 40% long position at SL

Bitcoin

BTCUSD is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. Bitocin will suffer some pressure now as dollar will rise, also it has correlation to equities and equities are to correct.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/LxWGtKdf-BTCUSD-1D-TW/

Trading update: buy to 80% short if equities form an SH, buy 20+y bonds if there’s an SL. These are autotrades.

Have a great week!

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05-SEP-2018 Before the bell

2018/09/05 at 5:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and it signals a fake bear. The expected correction arrived 1 day earlier that the forecast. 2D MV chart suggests no major correction to happen. The correct and bounce scenario is still on:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/UpY0JxLn-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an intial bear surge signal and an MVO bear surge signal. Our forecast was punctual and now, after the bounce the highest probability scenario is a strong drop on dollar. That will drive stocks upwards for a while and it will end with a liquidity trap on stocks (inflationary pressure won’t deliver any, further rise on equities).

My expectation is to see dollar below of its recent support at this bearish cycle.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DXY/O6iNwJ3d-DXY-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and a fake bear, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. The recent rise on dollar has no major effect on gold.

Our forecast for gold was punctual and I’m not changing the chart at all. Count with an extremely strong rise on gold in the very moment the bear on dollar will manifest in price.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/bcYEeLIC-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. Harmonics signals further, 2-3 trading days until a bull node happens. It means further 3 days of dive and then a bounce will arrive within 2 trading days. Miners followed our forecast but the right-translated W-shape recovery is not valid anymore.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/ZCukAQBI-GDX-1D-TW/

Both for gold and miners SVT is waiting for an SL for adding a long position.

Energy

Energy stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and a fake bear, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal. We had an SL here and took profit on our recent short.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XOI/UwdNpngW-XOI-1D-TW/

Now odds are pretty high seeing energy stocks to oscillate for a while.

Bonds

Bonds are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell wit a bear surge signal and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy and with an MVO bear surge. We sold our long bets at the recent local top and now we need to check if bond prices move with dollar together downwards. If this is the truth, then we will see the footsteps of Chinese US bonds price manipulation: they pump up bonds artificially just to get a better position to sell their stakes again. If the dollar-bonds down-spiral continues, US can face with extreme issues in the near future. Also, bonds sell on inflation is a clear signal of a major issue on macro-level and can demolish the US budget via expensive debt financing.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/A2VfiYj0-ZB-1D-TW/

BTCUSD

BTC is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. The target is almost completed. My expectation is a quick pop-up now but then a correction.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ZVNwapF7-BTCUSD/

Trading update:

-Add long miners, gold at SL to 60%

Good luck!

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Free Week-end Post

2018/06/03 at 10:55am Leave a comment

 

Equities

Harmonics is a confirmed buy for stocks.  SSTIS is a confirmed sell with a bull surge and a fake  bull signal. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with a bull surge.  The position of  stocks is slightly above V-MA.  2D MV momentum chart has a divergence in volume momentum vs. price. 2D MV chart has a slight MVO bull surge signal. It seems me rather an end-of distribution period, the osclillation period I noticed you in my former post seems to me proven but the resolution is rather bearish than bullish.

2018-06-03_2Dm

The primary target is /ES 2677.

Dollar

Harmonics is a short-term sell with a long-term buy for dollar. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy and with a bear surge. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. The MVO bull surge is still on for dollar but eliminates.

What does it mean? It seems to me that the equity rally is over, an oscillation period started this week and will flip into a selling cascade. It means, now dollar is being sold in order to balance the equity selling and to save the market. Dollar has more and more topping confirmation however, the first swing-high will be followed with a spike up and a second swing-high. The second high of the swing-high shouldn’t be higher than the first. Every thing is in our almost 3 weeks old forecast, let me show you:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/jK0iDS6j-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term buy with a long-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell signal. I don’t change my forecast, it stays as is:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/Eryj4aH7-GC-1D-TW/

Miners are a short-term buy with a long-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy and a fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/bXPWXogx-GDX-1DTW/

SVT will wait for a correction and for a swing-low before adding any PM positions.

Oil

The black gold is a confirmed sell with a possible bull node within 3-5 trading days on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart has a massive MVO bear surge signal. The forecast was to see oil at /CL2 67.8, however prices fell lower. It’s better to wait a few days before starting to buy some oil. The reason behind that I still seek for a bullish position is price is above V-MA meaning this asset is still within general bullish market conditions.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/yfijm1tb-CL-1D-TW/

Bonds are a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy and a fake bear. I still seek for a bullish addition. As you remember, the forecast was to see a spike-up and a correction. That move arrived and now in process.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/dA8lwKNx-ZB-1D-TW/

Trading update: Sell equities to zero at open, load equity short 40% at daily swing-high. PMs: wait for correction and swing-low before any trade. Oil,  energy: wait. Bonds 20+y add long 25% at swing-low.

Good luck, have a great week!

This post is free for your kind evaluation.

 

 

 

 

 

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Week-end post

2018/04/02 at 7:29am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy on harmonics with a long-term sell signal. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell with an MVo bear surge. It means that the bearish pressure will continue this week with a drop on equities.

No need to change/modify my forecast:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/tBrkYGNX-ES-1D-TW/

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell signal. It means that dollar is still a longer-term bear for institutions.

Dollar must leave its recent trading box with a decisive signal. While it’s a bear for institutions by volume studies, its price is neutral as per moment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7hbVzzpD-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal with a fake bear setup. It means gold will pop-up in the next few days. We had this forecast from early last week and we are in PMs even they made their expected dive. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy with an almost exhausted bull surge. It means there was a shadow-buy even gold was correcting last week.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/wKmP4dwV-GC-1D-TW/

Gold will remain bumpy as long as there won’t be a decisive direction of dollar.

Miners are a long-term buy with a short-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy signal. 2D MV chart is still a confirmed buy with a massive MVO bull surge signal.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/73HCgfCY-GDX-1D-TW/

Our metal exposure is pretty high and I will add when I have further bullish confirmation (dollar will get a clear direction).

Oil, Energy

The expected correction arrived 2 days earlier than I forecasted. Otherwise oil is still bullish.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/lUjhVfU7-CL-1D-TW/

Energy stocks are practically about moving sideways.

Our oil/energy exposure is pretty high and I will seek for a profit-taking event in the next 5-7 trading days.

Bonds

We bought a slight bullish position for 20+y bonds close to the bottom. Bonds were at extremely low levels of V-MA, therefore I didn’t take the risk of adding more than a core position. Now we made a pretty nice sum on bonds and we have a massive MVO bull surge signal on 2D MV chart. As bonds are still below of V-Ma on 2D chart but bullish on our short-term systemas harmonics and SSTIS as well and now there will be a visual golden bullish cross (MA 20/50) I’m adding up to 50% of exposure.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ZB1!/Dpc1HxmA-ZB-1D-TW/

Crypto

Bitcoin had a textbook-sample bull node on harmonics 2 days ago. Now the price manifestation is there. BTC was extremely overbought and as I warned you this asset collapsed. Maybe it’s a new thing for other, but I was the eyewitness the 2008 crisis, the collapse of silver and miners, and now bitcoin. We took profit in time and since, we nibble only at the lowest points and a small portion only. Please bear in mind: BTC STILL values 7k USD after the collapse meaning in spite of all the misery happened with the blockhain  based cripto-currency complex, it’s still strong and the industry it represents is still vital. As a trader I will only get in massively, if I see a strong buy signal. As BTC fell out of its secular bull price channel, only short, few days of trades will happen. Now I’m in and will get out at swing-high.

On top of the clear bull node setup on harmonics, I received a buy signal just today on my other system, and a third system is to give a buy signal within 2 trading days. So, I’m in. Again, a moderate position only.

As you can see, BTC is in an enermous triangle consolidation phase (typical shock pattern). It’s a kind of negotiation will be used as a foundation of any further development.
If prices will break out and trade above the triangle, then the price we eyewitness now will be an extremely strong basis and we will see prices above. If the outcome is contrary, then BTC will collapse and drop. The best strategy in my view is to stick on my method, seek for a clear buy and then make a short-term trade as long as there won’t be a resolution of the triangle setup. The time of that is the cross of the two stems (end of May)

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/mPitmcCO-BTCUSD/

Good luck!

 

Trading update: add bonds 20+y to 50% long at open, prepare mentally for oil/energy exit, prepare mentally for equity long buy.

 

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Week-end post

2017/10/02 at 8:43am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks produced a new ATH on /ES for now. Harmonics is still a confirmed buy. SSTIS has a short-term buy signal with a longer-term sell. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell and a longer-term buy.
2D momentum chart signals a bullish cycle, 2D fakeout chart is a non-fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/e1UkxnUC-ES-1D-TS/

Not too much to do here, the secondary bullish trendline is set now and stocks will move sideways till the trendline is intact, then correct.

Dollar

Dollar is still a confirmed buy on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup. 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. 2D fakeout chart is still a fake bull. 2D MV chart is a confirmed
buy with an eliminated MVO bull surge.
Now the scenario for our forecast we made last week -the pop-up and then drop for PMs- gives an explanation what can we expect from dollar: a quick drop and pop up move will be mirrored by PMs.

I still remain short on dollar, however the second drop should produce a lower high for a bearish continuation, otherwise dollar is to bounce and continue as a bullish asset for a while.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7437Pwxl-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics. A bull node is expected within 1-2 trading days.
SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. 2D fakeout for gold is a fake bull.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/vhW0YoXg-GC-1D-TW/

Silver is a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a perfect bull node today. SSTIS is a confirmed sell, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well.

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics and will form a bull node within 1-2 trading days. SSTIS is a short-term sell with a longer-term buy, also we have a fake bear signal here.
2D MV chart signals a confirmed sell, 2D MV fakeout chart signals a non-fake bear.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/bSoxj9lM-GDX-1D-TW/

For both gold and miners the bounce and drop will deliver an important message: if the second pop-up will start from a higher low than the recent low (right translated bottom) then we will see the PM complex to go upwards.
Otherwise we need to count with some, further correction.

Oil, Energy

XOI  (XLE) touched an important, MA200 target and bounced back last Friday. Harmonics is a confirmed buy. Short-term condition of energy stocks is extremely overbought.
SSTIS is a short-term sell with a long-term buy, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy. A slight drop and then some correction will happen.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XLE/BFj4Z5rZ-XLE-1D-TW/

Oil is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation and with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is almost a short-term sell but still a longer-term buy.
Oil managed a full HA candle above of its V-MA meaning general bullish conditions. After the correction target is 54.17.
SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

Crypto

Harmonics is a short-term buy with no long-term confirmation. Now BTC is extremely overbought in short-term.
Most probably BTC forms a HS. We need to wait in order to see the translation of the HS formation. As the secular bull trendline is still intact, odds are pretty high seeing a right translated HS meaning a bullish continuation in longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/S4qs48qH-BTCUSD/

As you can see, the secular bull trendline is still intact.

Good luck and have a great week!

Trading update: SVT will buy both oil and energy to bucket size of 100% at a trailing swing-low. This trade is an autotrade.

This post was free. Rest of October is for premium members only.

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29-SEP-2017 Before the Bell

2017/09/29 at 4:09am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on harmonics. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a long-term sell and with a bull surge signal. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal. My forecast needs no change, target is still /ES 2465 after a squiggle.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/vaXVhJQs-ES-1D-TW/

 

Dollar

Dollar is a confirmed buy on harmonics with a bear node to for within 2-3 trading days.  SSTIS is still a confirmed buy with a fake bull setup, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy, 2D MV fakeout chart for dollar is a fake bull. It might happen that dollar will test the top of its recent trading box at /DX 93.7 – 93.8 but still, odds are pretty high seeing dollar to fail and continue its way down.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/dJs5NMsr-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics with a possible bull node within 2-3 trading days. As you can see, node events of dollar and gold are in match. SSTIS is a short-term buy with a longer-term sell and with a fake bull setup. It means gold will bounce but then will drop a little when the bull node arrives. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GC2!/PsLDJqsT-GC-1D-TS/

Miners are a confirmed sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy. 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell as well. The characteristics of forecasted move is similar to gold.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CmMxZevy-GDX-1D-TW/

Oil

Oil is a short-term sell with a long-term buy signal on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a fake bear setup. 2D MV chart is a short-term sell with a long-term buy.

SVT will fill its bucket to 100% at swing-low.

The only thing I need to change on my almost 2 weeks old forecast is the timing of the swing-high, it arrived 1 day earlier than estimated.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/r48RJWWO-CL1DTW/

Crypto/BTC

Bitcoin is still a confirmed sell on harmonics and there is a bull node to be formed within 2-3 trading days. It means odds are high seeing a dive for this week-end. 3178 the swing-high arrived just in time and now a drop started. Target is 3511 first. If that target fails, then next target is 3160.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/92YSSZ9P-BTCUSD/

Trading update: autotfill oil bucket to long 100% at swing-low.

Have a great week-end!

This post and the week-end post are free.

 

 

 

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30-AUG-2017 Before the Bell

2017/08/30 at 1:55am Leave a comment

Equities

Stocks are a short-term buy and a longer-term sell on harmonics. SSTIS is a confirmed buy but a fake bull, 2D MV chart is a short-term buy with a long-term sell. 2D MV fakeout chart shows a fake bull setup. As long as equities are moving in their forecasted price  channel, we have not too much to do. As you see, our indicators show higher chance for a bearish continuation, but each time market is to dive, FED steps in and pushes  dollar down to the earth instead of letting it down. In my view, it’s just a matter of time we will see a stronger correction and longer this FED-game lasts larger the correction will be.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES2!/8Z5ZPn26-ES-1D-TW/

and let’s see the 2D MV fakeout chart:

2017-08-30_RUA2DMV

Dollar

Dollar  is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a confirmed sell with a bear surge on SSTIS and a short-term sell with no long-term confirmation on 2D MV chart with an MVO bear surge starting to develop.

As I told you, there was a critical level dollar had to test. My forecast  was a failed dollar with its temporary bullish contra and then the lower edge of its trading box at 92.520. Dollar completed that target and managed a breach of support: dollar is bearish in a longer-term.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DX2!/7n8DIKAb-DX-1D-TW/

Gold, Miners

Gold is a confirmed buy on harmonics and has a bear node. The node itself happened yesterday. Price manifestation to arrive within 2-3 trading days. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed sell. We must take 2D MV singals seriously. Odds are pretty high we will see a correction, maybe next week.

Miners are a confirmed buy on harmonics, and they formed a bear node yesterday as well. SSTIS is a confirmed buy with a bull surge, 2D MV chart is a confirmed buy.

As you know, I forecasted a correction both for miners and gold, but then a hysteric rise. Gold and miners skipped the correction and made their bullish rally. Now they are both above of V-MA meaning general bullish market conditions. SVT will keep its gold and miners stakes.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GDX/CcjUxJYI-GDX/

Oil

The black gold is a confirmed sell on harmonics, a fake bear with a short-term sell but a longer-term buy on SSTIS and a confirmed sell on 2D MV chart. Oil started to signal an accelerating bearish trendline as well. We expected this decline and I will wait for a swing-low. SVT sets up a trailing swing-low core buy from now on and will perform an auto-buy at that moment.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/CL2!/z5PpP3De-CL-1D-TW/

Crypto

As per your recent request, I will serve you with a non-reqular update on cryptocurrencies. As there is an ETF has strong correlation to BTC – the ETF name is GBTC, it shows up on harmonics system. Harmonics signals an ATH now and a confirmed buy with a high probability bear node to come in 2-3 trading days. Price manifestation usually arrives in 2-3 trading days after the bear node meaning a high probability correction for BTC within 4-6 trading days. Further details on BTC will come via my TWITTER, please subscribe to the TWITTER account. Cryptos are fast moving assets and need swift moves. However, if you have no time, you can set up a trailing swing-high autotrade.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/bDZNOXNd-BTC-BTCUSD/

Trading update: set autotrade for a core on Oil and XOI: condition is swing-low, core is 30%

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Have a great day!

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